803ab - Weather Schoolhouse

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Across
  1. 2. The NAVGEM does not perform well with forecasting _______ systems.
  2. 5. A limitation of a Deterministic model is that
  3. 6. The GFS is known for "progressive bias" and pushes storms to far ____.
  4. 10. The NAVGEM does not forecast well over ______.
  5. 16. Mathematical computations relating to force acting on or exerted by ice, water, or water vapor.
  6. 17. The GFS tends to move __________ features to quickly.
  7. 18. WAA is most common on the ____ side of low pressure centers.
  8. 20. Deterministic models align data within a models _____ points (Vertical and Horizontal).
  9. 21. The _______ derives probability products using 16 emmbers in 2 hour increments, and provides mesoscale-to-microscale products.
  10. 23. Mathematical projections of a 3-D atmopshere for a specific location over time, uses hydrodynamical equations.
  11. 24. A limitation of a Deterministic model is that it is impossible to aquire precise _____ conditions.
  12. 27. An advantage of Stochastic models is that it increases the solution spread, which increases the _____ of occurrence.
  13. 28. A limitation of Stochastic models is that it uses a lot of _____ power, and takes longer to produce/deliver.
  14. 32. The ______ is a Stochastic model created by the 557th weather wing and derives probability products using 63 ensemble members.
  15. 33. High thickness values indicate ____ air.
  16. 34. During trend analysis, you will have ________ when the new analysis data is slightly different from model.
  17. 35. ________ vorticity is Shear + Curvature.
  18. 37. When a parcel's "Z" axis is ______ to Earths "Z" axis then Planetary vorticity is near zero.
  19. 38. Created by NCEP, and products are available out to 16 days.
  20. 40. An advantage of a Deterministic model is that it is easy to use, and products are avilable for _________ use quickly.
  21. 42. On thickness, forecast a ________ when there is a contour trough without a thickness gradient.
  22. 43. Negative vorticity is indicated by "N" and indicates ______ upward vertical motion.
Down
  1. 1. Algorithms produce mathematical solutions displayed on this type of model, with specific values.
  2. 3. An example of ______ is 528dam to 540 dam.
  3. 4. When using the thickness model to forecast, SFC fronts are found in ________.
  4. 7. The GFS beyond 7-10 days is often unreliable based on ______.
  5. 8. A thickness gradient identifies areas of _____ advection, horizontal movement of temperature.
  6. 9. The GFS works best for ____ range forecasts (3-10 days).
  7. 11. ________ vorticity is the amount of rotation in straight-line flow.
  8. 12. For Stochastic models, multiple ______ members result in different solutions.
  9. 13. Primary model for oceanic operations.
  10. 14. Algorithms produce descriptive statistic, and repeats equation multipletimes with randomization.
  11. 15. What would you forecast if you see a closed, cold core thickness isopleth in nearly the same location and orientation as the isobaric pattern?
  12. 19. Created by roation in the jet axis, and parallels contours on the vorticity model.
  13. 22. The ______ displays weather parameters in a table format.
  14. 23. On the vorticity model, a deepening MSWT is indicated by greater ____.
  15. 24. Lines interconnecting the same thickness height are called _____.
  16. 25. __________ is the vertical distance between two constant pressure surfaces.
  17. 26. The ______________ thickness gradient parallels the 500mb contours.
  18. 29. The 570 dam thickness isopleth is the boundary between modified polar and ______ air.
  19. 30. Process example: 00-hour forecast of new model compared to 06-hour froecast of OLD model.
  20. 31. You will locate the ____ between 528-570 on the thickness isopleths.
  21. 36. This process determines model accuracy.
  22. 37. Downstream of a MSWT axis on the vorticity chart you will find ______.
  23. 39. ________ vorticity is the total roation of parcel due to a combination of all forces.
  24. 41. Negative vorticity advection is the movement of ______ vorticity values.